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Showing posts from 2019

WEDNESDAY WEBINAR

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FOOD AND AGRICULTURE IN THE 21ST CENTURY
Tomorrow (Wednesday from noon to 1pm central) former University of Illinois President Bob Easter will make a presentation on feeding the world in the 21st Century. 
Bob is an animal scientist specializing in pork production. He has made annual trips to China to teach pork production for more than three decades. I can only speculate that he will take up AFS in some detail and incorporate that into his 21st Century presentation. 
It is free. You or someone in your shop should register. The information should be very, very good. 
Todd Gleason
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Farmdoc Webinar: & in the 21st Century * Presented by Robert A. Easter, President Emeritus * Wed, Apr 17 - noon to 1 p.m. CDT * Will there be enough food by 2050? Protein demand, animal/crop production Registration: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1659489999268641293

Good Yields! Yes but a Warning | an interview with Gary Schnitkey

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Good Yields! Yes but a Warning | an interview with Gary Schnitkey
Gary Schnitkey, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinoisby Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois
read farmdocDaily articleOn a national basis, corn and soybean yields were near record-breaking levels in 2018, with exceptional yields in central Illinois and the eastern United States contributing heavily to those near-record U.S. yields. Other areas had below-trend yields. The county yields for corn and soybeans presented in this article illustrate these facts. Much higher U.S. yields are possible if all areas have exceptional yields. However, all areas including Illinois should not expect above-trend yields in every year.Corn YieldsThe 2018 corn yield for the United States was 176.4 bushels per acre, just .2 bushels below the record yield of 176.6 bushels per acre set in 2017 (all yields in this article are from QuickStats, a website maintained by the National Agricultural Statistical Service). From a…

USDA Reports Provide Surprises for Corn

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USDA Reports Provide Surprises for Corn
Todd Hubbs, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois


Friday’s USDA reports surprised the corn market. Todd Gleason has more on how more corn acreage than expected this year coupled with more corn leftover from last year than expected will influence prices.

by Todd Hubbs, University of Illinois
read farmdocdaily article
watch post USDA report webinar with Todd Hubbs and Scott Irwin

The USDA’s quarterly Grain Stocks report and annual Prospective Planting report delivered surprises to the corn market. A greater than expected corn stocks number combined with higher than expected planted acreage of corn gave very bearish news to corn prices. Soybean stocks and acreage came in neutral to slightly positive for soybean prices.

March 1 corn stocks came in at 8.605 billion bushels compared to an average trade guess of 8.335 billion bushels. The stocks estimate suggested feed and residual use of corn during the first half of the 2018–19 mar…

Pre-Season Tar Spot Checklist for Corn

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Pre-Season Tar Spot Checklist for Corn
Nathan Kleczewski, Extension Plant Pathologist - University of Illinois

Tar spot is a relatively new disease of corn in the Midwest. Todd Gleason has this pre-season checklist for farmers, roughly speaking, north of Interstate 80.

Tar spot has been showing up on field corn…
1:22 radio
1:28 radio self-contained



Tar spot has been showing up on field corn in Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio, and Florida says University of Illinois Extension Plant Pathologist Nathan Kleczewski (kleh-CHEH-ski).

Kleczewski :20 …where we’ve had the most pressure.
  Quote Summary - That’s where it is found right now. But in terms of severity, where we have seen it the most and the pressure is the highest, if you would take the lower portion of Lake Michigan and draw a section around there, that is where we’ve had the greatest severity right now. That is where we’ve had the most pressure.

Kleczewski (kleh-CHEH-ski) says this is because tar spot…

The Economic Advisability of Lowering 2019 N Rates on Corn

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The Economic Advisability of Lowering 2019 N Rates on Corn
Gary Schnitkey - Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois



by Gary Schnitkey, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois
read farmdocDaily article

Spring field operations will soon begin, and nitrogen applications on corn will commence. More nitrogen will be applied this spring than is typical because wet weather limited fall applications. University-recommended nitrogen application rates in Illinois are between 140 and 180 pounds of actual nitrogen per acre for corn-following-soybeans. For farmers applying above those rates, application reductions seem prudent this year. If a farmer is uncomfortable lowering to the University-recommended rates, experimenting by leaving strips in fields seems prudent.

Why Consider Lowering Nitrogen Application Rates in 2019?

Two economic factors suggest urgency in lowering nitrogen rates this year. First, net incomes on Illinois farms could be extremely low in 2019. Proje…

Farmers Unlikely to Make Big Acreage Switch to Corn

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Farmers Unlikely to Make Big Acreage Switch to Corn
Gary Schnitkey, Agricultural Economist - University of IllinoisThe scuttlebutt in the trade, even in the numbers released by USDA at its February Agricultural Outlook Forum, is that the economics will push farmers to plant a lot more corn acres this year. Todd Gleason reports University of Illinois crop budgets don’t bear that out.Ag Economist Gary Schnitkey has updated budgets…
1:35 radio
1:53 radio self-contained Ag Economist Gary Schnitkey has updated budgets for corn and soybeans across the state. He knows USDA increased its expectation for corn acres around the nation by about 3 million acres but says he does not expect a big shift to corn in Illinois.Schnitkey :25 …more profitable for 2019 Quote Summary - What we find is that corn is projected to be more profitable than soybeans. This is the first year in a while that has happened. However, our budgets do not suggest shifting to more corn production. Particularly c…

Corn Acreage in 2019

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Corn Acreage in 2019
Todd Hubbs, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois read farmdocDaily articleThe number of acres of corn planted this spring will be a key factor in determining where the price of corn goes. University of Illinois Agricultural Economist Todd Hubbs took up the issue in this week’s farmdocDaily article. Todd Gleason has more on the prospects. He starts with a historical graph…
2:13 radio
2:29 radio self-contained He starts with a historical graph. It shows the principal crop acres in the United States and how those have changed since 1997. Both corn and soybean acreage have increased. Combined they’re up about 10 percent over the past two decades.INSERT fdd190218–01.pngIllinois’ Todd Hubbs uses that history to help put the number or corn and soybeans acres into perspective.Hubbs :43 …corn acreage we think we are going to see.Quote Summary - When we look at the harvest month corn to soybean futures price ratio this year it has been about 2.37. Th…

Illinois Extension to Host Soil Fertility Webinar February 28

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Illinois Extension to Host Soil Fertility Webinar February 28
Phillip Alberti, Extension Educator - University of Illinois A live webinar will be hosted in 23 Illinois Extension offices across the state on Thursday, February 28, 2019. Check the list of locations below to find an office nearest you. Registration must be made by phoning the office where you plan to attend.Presentations include:Understanding and Extending Organic Nutrient Management Concepts by Joel Gruver, Western Illinois University, Associate Professor of Soil Science & Sustainable AgricultureManaging Phosphorus Loss in Tile Systems by Aaron Pape, University of Wisconsin Discovery Farms, Tile Drainage Education CoordinatorLong-term Crop Rotation and Tillage Effects on Soil GHG Emissions and Crop Production in Illinois by Gevan Behnke, University of Illinois, Senior Research SpecialistCover Crops and Soil N Availability in Corn & Soybean Systems by Lowell Gentry, University of Illinois, Principal R…

SCO: An Insurance Option Available to More Farmers

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Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO) was introduced in the 2014 Farm Bill but was limited to acres where Price Loss Coverage (PLC) was the commodity title program choice. More farmers likely will be choosing PLC for the 2019 and 2020 marketing years, leading to more acres being eligible for SCO. SCO may be attractive to those farmers who find the costs of Revenue Protection (RP) at an 85% coverage level too high. Farmers interested in SCO should discuss eligibility options with crop insurance agents.

by Gary Schnitkey

SCO Background
SCO is available to farmers who choose PLC for receiving commodity title payments. SCO is not available when Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) is chosen (farmdoc daily, June 16, 2015). ARC was selected on over 90% of the base acres in corn and soybeans under the 2014 Farm Bill. As a result, SCO was not an option for most Midwest farmers. Similar to the 2014 Farm Bill, the 2018 Farm Bill again gives a choice between PLC and ARC. More farmers likely will choose P…

Backyard Maple Syrup Production Workshop Feb 2

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Backyard Maple Syrup Production Workshop Feb 2
Chris Evans, Extension Forestry & Research Specialist - University of IllinoisRegister by January 30th
https://web.extension.illinois.edu/state/calendar_event.cfm?ID=80344The fourth annual backyard maple syrup production workshop will be held on Saturday, February 2, 2019 from 10am–3pm at the Dixon Springs Agricultural Center, located at 354 State Highway 145 N, Simpson, IL 62985. This program is free and open to the public. We are offering an expanded program this year! From 10-noon come learn the basics and see firsthand the entire process of backyard maple syrup production. Following a free lunch at noon, we will have maple syrup experts on hand to discuss scaling up production and advanced techniques and demonstrating equipment from 1pm to 3pm. During the morning session, the University of Illinois Extension will provide some activities for kids, including taste testing of real maple syrup!Program Schedule
* 10:00am t…

Quarterly Grain Stocks Report Projections

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Quarterly Grain Stocks Report Projections
Todd Hubbs, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois When the government reopens USDA will update the Grain Stocks report. Todd Gleason explains how this assessment of usage plays into the price of corn and soybeans. 1:58 radio
2:01 radio self-contained The Grain Stocks report is tallied four times per year. For corn and soybeans these are December 1st, March 1st, June 1st, and September 1st. They’re done in this order and correspond to the beginning and the end of the year supplies. The reports always read “As of”. So, for instance, the Grain Stocks report that was supposed to come out this Friday would read as of December 1st. The report, as USDA sees it, is nearly a survey. The agency contacts about 9000 grain elevators, and other storage facilities across the United States to see how many bushels of corn and soybeans are on hand on and off the farm. Then they pretty much make a very well educated guess as to how much ha…

January Crop Report Yield Expectations

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January Crop Report Yield Expectations
Todd Hubbs, Agricultural Economist - University of Illinois The January USDA reports have been delayed until further notice because of the government shutdown. As Todd Gleason reports it is expected once these numbers are released the changes in the national yields for corn and soybeans could be positive for price.2:09 radio
2:29 radio self-containedThe last time USDA updated corn and soybean yields was in the month of November. Both crops saw a drop in predicted yield for the 2018 harvest. This drop has been since complicated by harvest problems. Todd Hubbs from the University of Illinois says history can sometimes be a guide to how the January Crop Production report might change. More often than not when the yields from October to November go down, the U of I commodities specialist says they drop again in January. Hubbs :31 …is really supportive for corn prices moving forward.Quote Summary - And what you see is when you see a yield…